Global coffee prices continue to show positive trends due to concerns over weather conditions impacting supply in major producing countries, Brazil and Vietnam.
This was revealed by Leighton Crisp, Head of Markets Sales for Bank South Pacific (BSP), during his presentation at a breakfast event hosted by the Port Moresby Chamber of Commerce and Industry this morning, June 12, 2025.
Mr. Crisp’s presentation highlighted that adverse weather in Vietnam and Brazil has led to decreased production, contributing to the global price increase from which Papua New Guinea has benefited.
“Brazil accounts for around 38% of global production, so if they face any weather impacts, the price is very sensitive to Brazil,” Mr. Crisp explained.
This situation has positively impacted PNG’s coffee exports, with a historic estimated export of 850,000 bags last year.
According to RaboResearch projections cited by Mr. Crisp, Brazil’s 2025-2026 coffee harvest is estimated at 62.8 million bags, representing a 6.4 percent decline from the previous cycle. Arabica output specifically is expected to drop by 13.6% to 38.1 million bags.